fb技術分析 #C-COFFEE | IFCM 中華民國

技術分析 #C-COFFEE : 2020-07-10

建議 阿拉比卡咖啡:

賣出
積極賣出賣出中和買進積極買入

低於 97.88

Sell Stop

高於 102.77

Stop Loss

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高級分析專家
文章 1591
指標信號
RSI 中和
MACD 賣出
Donchian Channel 買進
MA(200) 賣出
Fractals 賣出
Parabolic SAR 賣出

圖表分析

IFC Markets Tech Analysis

On the 4-hour timeframe #C-COFFEE : H4 is falling below the 200-period moving average MA(200), which is falling itself. We believe the bearish momentum will continue as the price breaches below the lower Donchian boundary at 97.88. A pending order to sell can be placed below that level. The stop loss can be placed above 102.77. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal high, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level without reaching the order, we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.

基本面分析

Coffee imports by ICO members declined in June. Will the COFFEE price continue falling?

The International Coffee Organization (ICO) estimates world exports at 10.49 million bags in June, 14.6% lower than in May 2019. And imports by ICO importing Members and the United States reached 64.22 million bags in the first half of coffee year 2019/20 (Oct/19 to March/20), 3.7% lower than in October 2018 to March 2019. The ICO reported also its composite indicator decreased by 5.2% to an average of 99.05 US cents/lb in June 2020, which is the third consecutive month of decrease. Lower demand as indicated by falling shipments is bearish for coffee.

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