小麥 技術分析 - 小麥 交易: 2019-07-12

Lower world wheat ending stock estimate bullish for wheat

Wheat ending stock estimate was lowered in WASDE July report. Will the wheat prices continue rebounding?

On the 4-hour timeframe the WEHAT: H4 has risen above the 200-period moving average MA(200), this is bullish.

• The Parabolic indicator gives a buy signal.
• The Donchian channel indicates uptrend: it is narrowing up.
• The MACD indicator gives a bullish signal: it is above the signal line and the gap is widening.
• The RSI oscillator has levelled off and has not reached the oversbought zone yet.

We believe the bullish momentum will continue after the price breaches above the upper boundary of Donchian channel at 524.3. This level can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to buy. The stop loss can be placed below the last fractal low at 502.0. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal low, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level (502.0) without reaching the order (524.3), we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.

Technical Analysis Summary